Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.562376 0.740172 0.942903 1.187879 1.472632 1.790117 2.167756
2025-02-16 0.265576 0.456034 0.709493 1.055741 1.501283 2.041276 2.731033
2025-02-23 0.130535 0.307482 0.585820 1.012989 1.612690 2.389090 3.434602
2025-03-02 0.056309 0.201444 0.479238 0.959429 1.690409 2.692498 4.101910
2025-03-09 0.028795 0.158136 0.453079 1.012657 1.915669 3.202849 5.065592
2025-03-16 0.010632 0.111762 0.399668 1.005605 2.044360 3.583318 5.872153
2025-03-23 0.004780 0.094534 0.398602 1.086530 2.313420 4.175860 6.992727
2025-03-30 0.001489 0.076230 0.385495 1.139889 2.539029 4.713185 8.054042
2025-04-06 0.000183 0.057841 0.361089 1.163766 2.713684 5.179117 9.026990
2025-04-13 NaN 0.037916 0.316051 1.132180 2.785428 5.487020 9.778289
2025-04-20 NaN 0.027038 0.293049 1.143057 2.930529 5.911631 10.709209
2025-04-27 NaN 0.019246 0.274515 1.159324 3.084254 6.353138 11.674284
2025-05-04 NaN 0.010128 0.233168 1.108973 3.110296 6.596397 12.361549
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004639 0.197441 1.061922 3.136243 6.838905 13.054257
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002345 0.179829 1.062098 3.256380 7.242119 14.003214
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000741 0.154735 1.029680 3.303843 7.521977 14.766565
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000508 0.159024 1.098435 3.573171 8.192125 16.154294
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000123 0.145113 1.097975 3.690034 8.599791 17.136241
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000097 0.154611 1.187769 4.013087 9.377467 18.717268
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000039 0.156076 1.246633 4.269010 10.042220 20.128850
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000003 0.149793 1.273208 4.452597 10.582814 21.350891
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.130703 1.240277 4.495788 10.872867 22.175886
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.122665 1.252193 4.643972 11.354694 23.316288